Issues
Facing the Pacific Cooperation
by Mr. Anand Panyarachun
Vice-Chairman
of Saha-Union Corp., Ltd.
at the International Symposium on
“The
Outlook of the Pacific Economic Community Concept”
Tokyo, March 15,
1985
(Organized by The Japan Member Committee of the Pacific
Basin Economic Council)
All of you who
are present here to day need no sermon or enlightenment, on the positive aspects
of Pacific cooperation. Rapid economic growth around the Pacific rim, and its
increasing share of global trade, have rightly caught the attention of the world,
and convinced many people that the 21st century would in fact be the “Pacific
Century”. It is, therefore, not my intention to preach to the converts, but rather
to remind and to raise with you, many of the issues and problems which can retard
the pace of the development in the direction that we all desire.
“Pacific
cooperation” is a slogan, which has been bandied about in the last two decades.
Admittedly, it is a term which, like motherhood, nobody “can vote against” and
is so general and innocuous that each one of us finds no difficulty in accepting
the idea.
Only when we begin to examine
the term do we find that discrepancies arise - resulting in differences in concept,
approaches and perspectives. Yet, in spite of the painstakingly slow process of
crystallization of the concept, a measure of cooperation in the Pacific area already
exists. Through some existing international organizations, forums and panels,
certain progress, in limited areas and scope, is being made. The question, therefore,
is not whether there shall, or shall not, being Pacific cooperation, but how to
find ways and means of maximizing the potential and promises of the Pacific century.
Undoubtedly,
there is already increasing inter-action among the nations of the Pacific, of
which some are instances of cooperation. A multilateral effort, on a scale that
encompasses the length and breadth of the Pacific Ocean, is a phenomenon whose
time has not yet come. So, to talk about cooperation among all States of the entire
Pacific region, is not only unrealistic, but would also be a mis-direction of
our approach and mis-application of our efforts.
A
State only wants to “cooperate”, if its national interest is served by such cooperation.
Even in the absence of clear-cut advantage to its national interest, that State
may be prepared to give the idea the benefit of the doubt, if it can be convinced
of the desirability of joining “the club”. That desirability may derive from its
sense of belonging, not in geographical terms though, to the area in which “the
club” is formed, or the “cooperation” is to be devised.
Such
desirability existed, when ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) was
formed in Bangkok in 1967. There was already an initial sense of belonging in
Southeast Asia and growing consciousness of a “community of interests”. Such was
also the case, when the European Economic Community was founded in 1951. The question
we should ask ourselves now is whether this sense of belonging in the Pacific,
is so widely prevalent, as to assure the desirable degree of cooperation. My own
answer is “not yet”.
It is to be recalled
that the post-war era of Pacific Asia was one of political turmoil – nation-building
and its attendant problems before and after independence - and linkages between
those nations were only forged one or two decades after 1945. In contrast, a greater
sense of community long existed in Europe, and the War was only an interregnum.
The post-War period in Europe was merely one of economic reconstruction, to restore
the previous linkages temporarily broken.
The
Pacific, on the other hand, denotes a much vaster geographical area, where homogeneity
is an exception, rather than a rule. It consists of several regions or sub-regions
in which many societies do not share a common history or common roots and traditions.
Moreover, they are diverse in their views and outlooks, and have different levels
of political, economic and social development.
The
notion of a Pacific identity is still lacking in the area, and this may prove
to be a major impediment to the fostering of the growth and enthusiastic acceptance
of the concept. Government Statements, policies and actions are important educational
tools to change the environment and adjust the people’s attitude. On this score,
growing protectionist measures, restricted market access, and more nationalistic
economic policies do not auger well for the future. Clear and positive signals
from countries concerned, particularly from the industrialized States, are the
pre-requisite to the implementation of the Pacific cooperation concept.
In my view, our efforts should be directed primarily at the core members of the
group, which inevitably should include the six ASEAN States. This approach is
by no means designed to give “The Pacific club” a sense of exclusivity. The selective
approach is based entirely on the practicality rationale. With such diverse interests,
national priorities, regional preferences not to mention varying levels of development
and trade sophistications -- it is well-nigh impossible to identify common aspirations
and objectives in a full-fledged group. From the practical point of view, preliminary
discussions and consensus would be more easily held and attained in a smaller
group of key countries, on both sides of the development fence, leaving a way
open for others to comment and suggest amendments to be taken into account in
the final form.
There is one caveat here,
however, just because a State is geographically located in the Pacific area, or
around the Pacific rim, does not automatically mean that the State must at all
costs aspire to or be included in the framework of Pacific cooperation. Geographical
identity should not precede the national interests of the State. Nor should it
prevail over the over-riding interests of the Pacific-group as a whole.
I
have so far dwelled on the subject of “The Pacific”. The crucial problem is whether
there is a meeting of minds on the term “cooperation”. Are we meaning the same
thing when we refer to “cooperation”? It is easy to say: “let us cooperate” but
“cooperate to achieve what, and in what manner?” In short, under what terms? In
any cooperative arrangement with a super-power - and in this case both Japan and
the US are economic super-powers, smaller nations simply cannot have an equal
role, or equal say, on the subject matter. Hence, uneasiness and reluctance on
their part to embark on this venture, on a negotiating basis.
At
this juncture, it may be useful to recollect the ideas and proposals that have
been used in the past as “trial balloons”. The concept of Asian-Pacific economic
cooperation originated in the mid-1960s with the stimulus coming primarily from
Japan. It owes its genesis to:
a) the rapid economic development of countries in Northeast
and Southeast Asia.
b)
the desire to create a new growth centre in the world economy.
c) the calls being made upon Japan to undertake greater responsibilities
for the security and economic development of the Asia Pacific region.
The
Japanese, along with the Australians and the New Zealanders, have been deeply
conscious that they alone, are neither fitted historically nor endowed financially
to meet the security and economic needs of the Pacific, in general, and Southeast
Asia in particular.
Businessmen in Japan
have been in the fore-front in formulating ideas, in regard to Asia-Pacific sphere
of cooperation. The Pacific Basin Economic Council (PBEC) was thus founded in
May 1967 by business leaders from Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada and the
United States. The organization, however, started off on the wrong foot in so
far as it included only industrialized countries of “The North”. This glaring
lack of “cooperation” with the less developing countries in the Pacific region,
tarnished the image of PBEC, and portrayed it as an example of self-centered interest
on the part of the developed countries. Efforts, however, are studiously and conscientiously
being made to rectify the short-coming.
Discussions
at businessmen’s level have also promoted parallel discussions among the academics.
In 1968, the first Pacific Trade and Development Conference was held in Tokyo
and considered the ideas of Professor Kiyoshi Kojima of Hitotsubashi University,
for achieving closer economic cooperation in the region. Central to Professor
Kajima’s ideas was his proposal for a Pacific free-trade area. Analysis of trade
flows indicated, however, that Japan would benefit more than any other country
from a Pacific free-trade area. The proposition, therefore, did not gain much
ground and was regarded as premature.
Another
proposal advanced at the first Pacific Trade and Development was for an Organization
for Pacific Trade and Development (OPTAD), modelled on the OECD. The proposed
OPTAD was to have provided a forum for the discussion of trade and development
issues, and the promotion of economic integration in the Asia-Pacific region.
Issues relating to membership, organizational structure and functions of such
an inter-governmental body were left unresolved.
During
the time Mr. Ohira was Prime Minister of Japan in December 1978, he together with
Dr.Okita, who subsequently became his Foreign Minister, also advocated the concept
of the Pacific Community. Studies, discussions, ensued, but the “community” concept
was not readily acceptable. The reason was the absence of a sense of community
within the area. The State of mind was not there, and the common interests were
not yet perceived.
The Korean proposal
for a Pacific Summit Conference, received polite, but lukewarm, interest. It was
envisaged as a scheme with political over-tones and unlikely to achieve anything
substantive.
What lessons do we learn from
all these past endeavours? From each of the experiences I have related, I believe
that we can draw the following lessons.
Lesson
I: Any system, governmental or private, for Pacific cooperation, must not be seen
to be exclusive or selective, only among those with “developed” status. Any attempt
to forge the cooperation should as far as possible involve the potential States,
both developed and less developed, from the very beginning.
Lesson
II: While cooperation is a two-way street, no scheme for Pacific cooperation is
viable unless and until the “South” of the Pacific is convinced that it stands
to gain as much as ”The North” in such a cooperative plan.
Lesson
III: Any proposal, which leads to the creation of an organizational structure
with wide authority, while the question of membership remain un-resolved, is too
premature.
Lesson IV: A sense of community,
particularly for an area as vast as the Pacific, cannot be imposed or directed
from the top. Much ground-work needs to be done, and due recognition given, to
the heterogenous nature of the region.
Lesson
V: Any scheme which tends to give the impression of being politically inspired
or security-oriented is least likely to be acceptable.
On
the basis of these lessons, I venture to suggest the following approach:
1.
Don’t be too ambitious. Japanese political leaders were on the right track when
they decided to shelve over-ambitious plans for Pacific cooperation. The ideas
of Pacific free-trade area, OPTAD, Pacific Economic Community are simply not practical
for the 1980s and 1990s. Their turn may yet come in the 21st century.
2.
Be pragmatic and adopt a step-by-step and sector-by-sector approach. We should
concentrate on areas, which are the least controversial and most conducive, to
cooperation. Such selective approach would bring about harmony and gradually promote
the spirit of cooperation among the participants. In the process, constant fear
by less developed countries of being dominated or pressured, would lessen and
we in “The South” would gain self-confidence in dealing with our big brothers
on more difficult and complex issues.
3.
The United States and Japan, and to a lesser degree Australia, New Zealand and
Canada, need to pursue policies, and adopt measures, which give clear signals
to ASEAN and others in the area, that their actions correspond to the words they
repeatedly utter. In the present circumstances, their increasing tendency and
more subtle methods, to restrict their markets and indirectly to stifle our economy,
is viewed by ASEAN with grave concern and has a most serious negative impact on
the evolution of the Pacific cooperation concept.
4.
If ASEAN is regarded as an essential element of Pacific cooperation, as it is
generally recognized, ASEAN should be given better opportunity in terms of trade
and development to be able to sustain their growth and organize themselves into
a more cohesive economic grouping. Strengthening of ASEAN in the economic and
trade area would help to accelerate the realization of Pacific cooperation. ASEAN
with its inner strength and greater confidence, would be your better and more
effective partner than it can be at present.
For
the advocates of The Pacific Cooperation, the future has begun! For us in Southeast
Asia-ASEAN, we would like to share the blessings and the benefits of the future
- provided we also have clear perceptions as to where the future is taking us!