Thailand
and the United States -
Old Friends Seeking a New Relationship
by Mr. Anand Panyarachun
The Inaugural Phillips Initiative Address
University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill
April 6, 1995
It is a
great honor to be at the University of North Carolina to speak at the inaugural
Phillips Initiative Symposium, particularly because it gives me the opportunity
to look at the future of the relations between Thailand and the United States.
It
was almost exactly 200 years ago, I am told that the first student came to Chapel
Hill to study at this, the first public university in the United States. This
student, one Hinton James, was two weeks late for the official opening because
he walked the entire distance from Wilmington. It is a sign of the immense changes
in the world that I have been able to come from the other side of the globe in
far less time than Hinton James took to come from Wilmington. But of course I
did not have to walk.
Still, it was a long journey for me, and one that
I would not have undertaken without good cause.
The Phillips Initiative
is a generous and imaginative effort on the part of Mr. "Phil" Phillips,
who serves with me on the board of the Asian Institute of Technology, to help
shift that relationship to a new level. The focus of the Initiative on relationships
between universities is, I believe, a perceptive one. As we head into the next
century it will be our ability to learn and to teach, that will determine whether
our increasingly close-knit world society will survive the changes that are coming
at us with bewildering speed.
I would like to spend a few moments talking
with you about some of the implications of these changes for our countries, once
so far apart, but now separated by much less a journey than traveled by the first
student at this great university.
In that year of 1795 both our countries
were building anew after difficult wars of independence. The United States had
freed itself from Britain. Thailand, then known as Siam, had just driven out the
Burmese army after years of invasion and occupation.
These struggles demonstrated
the fierce desire of both our peoples to be independent.
Over the years,
this common desire for independence has brought together our very different countries
as allies, trading partners and friends. When the tide of European colonialism
rolled over Southeast Asia in the 17th, 18th and 19th centuries, Thailand was
the only country in the region to remain independent.
Thailand and the United
States had occasional contact, but it was not until 1833 that the first formal
Treaty of Amity and Commerce was signed. So friendship, from the early days, was
based on mutual commercial interest rather than politics or international security.
Not, I would argue, a bad way to start.
Our relations developed slowly over
the next several decades, and travel between our countries still meant weeks of
hardship. Following World War II, however, we faced together the challenges of
what was called "The Cold War".
Sadly, in Asia, it was a very
hot war. First there was Korea and then Vietnam. In both conflicts, Thai troops
fought alongside Americans. The war in Vietnam not only brought 50,00 American
servicemen to Thailand, it joined our countries as allies in a confusing conflict
that is still debated in both countries.
Now, however, the region and the
United States, are moving to a new era of peaceful cooperation and partnership.
Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia, once threats to Thailand and to other U.S. allies
in the region, are actively seeking trade, investment and friendship. Where Thailand
was once the front-line state against Indochina, it is now the doorway to these
countries, as they try to reform their economies and build a vibrant private sector.
This
regional change is the first reason that it is time to find a new model for Thailand's
old and friendly relationship with the United States. Under external threat, Thailand
relied on the United States for training, equipment, material support and emergency
help. That relationship has changed. Without that threat, Thailand continues to
cooperate with the United States. There are annual joint military exercises. The
security relationship is, however, no longer a dependent relationship. Thailand
pays for its own security and determines its own policies.
The second reason
is economic development. In this area too, Thailand has changed beyond recognition.
When I first served as Ambassador to the United States in the 1970s, our major
exports included rice, tin and rubber. Now they comprise computers, hard disk
drives, chemicals, integrated circuits, jewelry and other manufactured goods.
I
was pleased and proud during my two terms as Prime Minister to be able to enact
a great deal of new legislation that improved the tax structure, that liberalized
the financial sector and trading regime, that provided for better protection of
the environment and that opened much more of the government decision-making process
to outside scrutiny. Although my government was able to push these reforms further
and faster than other governments, many of these improvements were already under
development by my predecessors. Nearly all of them have been supported by my successor.
So,
for businessmen, there is great stability behind the headlines in Thailand. The
current elected government is currently well into its third year in power. More
important for the underlying stability of the nation, His Majesty King Bhumibol
Adulyadej, will soon complete his 50th year on the throne. His Majesty has provided
not only a deeply stabilizing influence, but a marvelous model of concern for
the poor and for the general well being of the nation.
Policy stability,
national unity and strong foreign investment have combined with our highly trainable
work force to spark rapid economic growth. The pace of this growth accelerated
in the mid-eighties, and has now averaged about 10% for the past seven years.
GDP growth continues this year at about 8.5% per year, with export growth above
20%.
This has transformed the business scene. Where once we had only small
trading firms dealing in basic commodities, we now have major companies, including
some Thai-based multinationals.
The CP Group, which once sold seeds from
a shophouse, is now a $4 billion a year company that has operations in Europe
and the United States. CP is the largest single foreign investor in China with
operations in 23 provinces that stretch from feed mills and aquaculture to motorcycle
manufacture, tele-communications and satellites.
Bangkok Bank has become
the largest bank in Southeast Asia.
The Shinawatra Group, has expanded from
computers to cable television to telecommunications. It has launched the first
two Thai-owned satellites.
The Siam Cement Company has diversified its original
base in construction materials to produce more than 20,000 different products,
including petrochemicals, auto parts, machinery and paper. It is Thailand's oldest
and largest industrial company.
These companies are not rare exceptions.
More and more Thai companies are reaching the point where they are major players
on both the national and regional level. These companies provide opportunities
for American firms to find strong partners in Thailand and in the region. The
private sector and the hundreds of successful foreign-Thai joint ventures have
provided the dynamism that continues to drive economic development. With that
success, of course, comes even greater responsibility. The private sector must
help find ways to address key problems such as education, environment and infrastructure,
if for no other reason than to provide the basis for sustainable business development.
So the private sector must play a major role in the new development relationship
with the United States.
Thai culture is old and strong, but its origins
lie in situations in which it was important for leaders to bind their people to
them with benefits in return for loyalty. So Thai society was held together by
relationships of patron and client. That also became the model for the relationship
between the United States and Thailand for much of our modern history. In security,
in international politics, in trade and investment, the United States was the
patron and Thailand was the client.
Much that was good and beneficial to
both came out of that relationship. The United States, through the U.S. Agency
for International Development, spent more than $1 billion on infrastructure, technology
transfer and training in Thailand. Some of that was useful, some was wasted.
Given
the changes that have taken place, however, the patron-client relationship, the
donor-recipient relationship is no longer appropriate or beneficial for either
country. It has already begun to change, USAID will close its doors in Thailand
in a few months. We should not regret this. We should welcome the change, but
we should not abandon decades of cooperation. We must not overlook continuing
development needs. The challenge is to move on and find a new model for our relationship.
Much
progress has already been made, particularly in business. Having worked in the
private sector now for more than 15 years, it is clear to me that this is the
most important area of our relationship. Two-way trade between the United States
and Thailand last year grew 23% to more than $15 billion. Thailand still has a
trade surplus with the United States, but last year Thai imports of American goods
grew by nearly 30% and the gap is narrowing. The United States is still Thailand's
leading market.
There are lots of reasons for Americans to do business in
Thailand. We have been prudent and conservative managers of our finances. Our
currency has been stable relative to the dollar. We have been careful to spend
within our means. In fact, the government has run a cash surplus for the past
seven years.
Thailand is opening up new opportunities for the private sector.
We have begun to privatize the electric power industry where demand growth of
up to 14% per year is expected. (I know officials from the North Carolina company
Duke Power were in Thailand only a couple of weeks ago). We are liberalizing our
financial sector, offering new bank licenses and providing offshore banking opportunities.
The fast-growing stock market and the newly developed debt market need American
financial skills and services.
Thailand can provide American businesses
with a gateway into Indochina. Thailand is also a key member of the Association
of Southeast Asian Nations - a market of 350 million people with more than $450
billion in GNP. As road and rail links are built, Thailand will provide land access
into Southern China. Cultural kinship has already given Thai businesses a head
start in the booming China market. Operations in Thailand provide American companies
with a base for expansion into China as well as the rest of the region.
Thailand
is happy to do business with people from all countries, but Americans enjoy a
special advantage. Under the 1966 Treaty of Amity and Economic Relations, U.S.
investors are exempt from many of the restrictions imposed on others. Americans,
for example, can hold 100% of their Thai companies while other nationalities are
restricted to 49%.
Despite the recent surge in Asian investment in Thailand,
the United States still accounts for about 20% of all foreign investment.
Although
North Carolina businesses may not be widely known in Thailand, it is interesting
to note that the current president of the American Chamber of Commerce in Thailand
is from North Carolina, and so were his two predecessors. I am told there are
a growing number of businesses and investments that carry the good North Carolina
name of Kenan. I am sure the hi-tech industries of North Carolina, such as those
at the Research Triangle Part, will find ready markets and capable partners in
Southeast Asia.
The rapid economic growth of Thailand, however, does not
mean we no longer need American development cooperation. In fact, rapid industrialization
has actually increased needs in those critical areas I mentioned earlier: infrastructure,
education and the environment.
Industrial development has driven up incomes,
but industrial waste now threatens the rivers and canals which irrigate the fertile
fields that make Thailand the world's leading exporter of rice. Hazardous wastes
and municipal garbage create health problems for all, but particularly for the
urban poor. Air pollution in Bangkok is another threat to health.
None of
these problems are unique to Thailand. Many have already been addressed in the
United States. So you can provide some of the technology and expertise we need.
But we do not need it on the basis of handouts.
Our rising incomes and our
rising pollution problems create potentially lucrative new markets for U.S. environmental
products and services. The barriers of distance, language, culture, law and simple
unfamiliarity, however, sometimes prevent needed linkages from being made. As
chairman of the Kenan Institute of Asia, I am pleased that the Kenan Institute
is working to overcome those barriers through management of the U.S.-Thailand
Development Partnership. And it is doing this in a way that provides a new model
for foreign cooperation, not foreign aid.
The differences between this new
"Partnership model" and the old "handout model" are clear.
At
the Partnership, an experienced staff of bilingual Thais and Americans work to
develop and communicate needed information on markets and technology. They use
business skills to create partnerships that focus on a public need, but have private
sector mechanisms to keep them going.
Funds are available, but they are
only provided if the Thai and the American companies share the costs. This reduces
the burdens of oversight because the parties involved are using their own money.
It simplifies project development because few dead-end projects can ever get started.
It provides for long-term sustainability by meeting market needs and making profits.
Perhaps most important, there is a mutual benefit. Thailand gets proven
technology and U.S. company get quality business partners and a fast-growing market.
The relationship is therefore no longer one of donor and recipient. It is not
patron-client. It is a relationship of equals. It is a business relationship that
directly benefits Americans - be it business firms or labor force.
There
are also opportunities for mutually beneficial cooperation on infrastructure.
The Kenan Institute is working with the Thai private sector and government to
create a new kind of infrastructure for 21st century manufacturing and logistics:
the Global Transpark.
This idea, developed by Kanan Institute's Jack Kasarda,
has caught the attention of businessmen and planners who see the need for overcoming
infrastructure bottlenecks as the demand increases for speed to world markets.
With
the rapid economic development, Thailand also faces the need for more education
at all levels. Our education has historically been geared to producing the governing
elite. Now the needs of our growing economy is for engineers, technicians, doctors
and managers. We need to move towards the admirable concentration of educated
brain power that the Raleigh Durham area has achieved. It may be some time before
we have 25% of our work force with university degrees as you do in this area,
but we must move in that direction.
Here too, there is a mutual advantage
in working together. As Dean Paul Fulton often says, business must be international.
That means that top business schools such as the Kenan-Flagler School, must provide
an international education. With huge markets developing in Asia, your graduates
need to learn our ways of doing business, just as our young managers need to master
the tools and techniques developed in the United States.
Several Kenan programs
address these needs:
· The CitiBank International Fellowship Program brings
top Asian scholars to the Kenan Institute each year to carry out advanced research.
·
The Kenan-Flagler Business School is recruiting more top students from Thailand.
I understand there are at least 13 Thais here now.
· The MBA summer internship
program brings about 20 students to work in Thai businesses each year.
·
An executive education program has started. I was pleased to open the first pilot
Kenan program in executive education in Thailand just last month. The program
was an intensive course in the strategy of transnational technology cooperation.
With some seed funds from the Phillips Initiative, the program brought together
the University of North Carolina, the Asian Institute of Technology, and Thammasat
University, Thailand's second-oldest university. It was an important step towards
expanded university-to-university cooperation that focuses on the real needs of
business.
There is much more that can be done and should be done. But it
must be done on the new model of cooperation, not donation; of sustainable activities,
not quick fixes. We need to harness the private sector to the work of solving
public problems.
The creation of this new "Partnership model"
of international cooperation will benefit the new relationship between Thailand
and the United States. It goes even beyond that. The United States needs to find
ways to help world development and help itself at the same time. There are many
countries, particularly in East Asia, where the dynamism of the private sector
offers the potential for far greater effect through the Partnership model than
could ever be achieved through the traditional model of foreign aid.
There
is little doubt, the next century will be the Pacific Century, but it is not enough
to trumpet the changes so clearly coming. There are still barriers of culture,
history and understanding that must be overcome. There is much that can go wrong.
But there is also a lot we, here in this room, can do to build the kind of relationships
that serve the needs of all the Pacific countries.
We, in Thailand, look
forward to developing this new mutually beneficial relationship, working closely
with American universities, government, businesses and the American people. Together,
I believe we can make a difference that will benefit all of us.